十勝岳山頂は現在曇り、気温は-0.1℃、体感-2.7℃。山麓は9℃の弱い霧雨であり、山頂との気温差は-9.1℃に及ぶ。日中を通して山頂付近は1℃から-0.2℃で推移し、弱い霧雨が続く予報だ。積雪深は31cm。この気温と降水により、残雪は非常にウェットで滑りやすい状態にある。凍結の心配は少ないが、下地が硬い箇所ではチェーンスパイクの携行が必須となる。
行動中は終始、防水透湿性の雨具上下を着用し、ベースレイヤーは速乾性のものを選ぶ。ミッドレイヤーにはフリースや薄手のソフトシェルを、アウターには防水透湿性のハードシェルを着用する。体感温度は日中も氷点下となる時間帯があり、霧雨による濡れで低体温症のリスクが高い。手袋や帽子も防水防寒性のものを準備し、着替えの予備も携行すること。
視程は現在3.6kmと不良であり、日中も回復は見込めない。大正噴火火口や新噴火口周辺はルートファインディングが困難になる。特に望岳台コースから稜線に出る区間では、視界不良と濡れた残雪で足元が不安定になりやすい。無理な行動は避け、引き返す判断も重要だ。自動リスク判定で顕著な警戒値は検出されていないが、この霧雨と気温では濡れによる体温低下が最も危険な要素となる。
夕方から夜間にかけて気温は-2℃から-4℃台まで低下し、霧雨は続く。深夜には風速3.09m/s、突風13.1m/sと風が強まるため、夜間の行動は凍結と強風、低体温症のリスクが非常に高くなる。日中の行動も濡れによる体温低下に厳重な警戒が必要であり、行動適否は慎重に判断すること。
北海道
十勝岳
Mt. Tokachi
2026年5月8日 06:59 更新
濡れた残雪と視界不良。行動は慎重に
Wet snow and limited visibility. Expect slippery residual snow. Layer up for
現在の気象状況 — Current Conditions
▲ 山頂エリア (Summit)
気温 Temp
-0.1°C
風速 Wind
0.4m/s
S
天候 Weather
☁️ 曇り
体感 Feels Like
-2.7°C
▼ 登山口・山麓エリア (Base)
気温 Temp
+9°C
風速 Wind
1.1m/s
SSW
天候 Weather
🌦️ 弱い霧雨
標高 Altitude
923m
山頂の3時間予報 — Summit Forecast
09:00
+1°C
0.6m/s
WSW
💧 0.4mm
(100%)
12:00
+2°C
0.1m/s
NNW
💧 0.4mm
(100%)
15:00
0°C
0.7m/s
SSE
💧 0.5mm
(100%)
18:00
-2°C
1.7m/s
ESE
💧 0.1mm
(100%)
21:00
-3°C
2.6m/s
ESE
💧 0.6mm
(100%)
00:00
-3°C
3.1m/s
ESE
💧 0.2mm
(100%)
03:00
-4°C
2.6m/s
ESE
💧 0.1mm
(98%)
気象分析 — Analysis Report
日本語
コンディション概ね良好 — 通常の山岳安全対策を実施すること
English
Conditions generally good — Conduct standard mountain safety measures
The summit of Mt. Tokachidake is currently cloudy with a temperature of -0.1°C, feeling like -2.7°C. The base area reports light drizzle at 9°C, indicating a significant -9.1°C temperature difference from the summit. Throughout the day, summit temperatures are expected to hover between 1°C and -0.2°C, accompanied by light drizzle. The snow depth is 31cm. Given these conditions, the residual snow is very wet and slippery. While widespread ice formation is unlikely, chain spikes are essential for sections with firm underlying surfaces.
During your ascent, wear waterproof and breathable rain gear. Choose a quick-drying base layer, a fleece or light softshell for your mid-layer, and a waterproof breathable hardshell as your outer layer. Perceived temperatures will remain below freezing at times, and the persistent drizzle significantly increases the risk of hypothermia due to wetness. Waterproof and warm gloves and hats are crucial, and carrying spare dry clothing is highly recommended.
Visibility is currently poor at 3.6km and is not expected to improve during the day. Route finding around the Taisho crater and New crater will be challenging. Particularly on sections of the Bokaidai course leading to the ridge, unstable footing due to wet residual snow combined with poor visibility poses a significant hazard. Avoid pushing forward unnecessarily; being prepared to turn back is vital. Although no specific alerts were triggered by the automated risk assessment, the combination of drizzle and near-freezing temperatures makes hypothermia the primary concern.
Temperatures will drop to -2°C to -4°C from evening into night, with drizzle persisting. Winds will intensify overnight, reaching 3.09m/s with gusts up to 13.1m/s by midnight, making nighttime travel extremely hazardous due to freezing conditions, strong winds, and hypothermia risk. Exercise extreme caution regarding hypothermia even during daylight hours,
During your ascent, wear waterproof and breathable rain gear. Choose a quick-drying base layer, a fleece or light softshell for your mid-layer, and a waterproof breathable hardshell as your outer layer. Perceived temperatures will remain below freezing at times, and the persistent drizzle significantly increases the risk of hypothermia due to wetness. Waterproof and warm gloves and hats are crucial, and carrying spare dry clothing is highly recommended.
Visibility is currently poor at 3.6km and is not expected to improve during the day. Route finding around the Taisho crater and New crater will be challenging. Particularly on sections of the Bokaidai course leading to the ridge, unstable footing due to wet residual snow combined with poor visibility poses a significant hazard. Avoid pushing forward unnecessarily; being prepared to turn back is vital. Although no specific alerts were triggered by the automated risk assessment, the combination of drizzle and near-freezing temperatures makes hypothermia the primary concern.
Temperatures will drop to -2°C to -4°C from evening into night, with drizzle persisting. Winds will intensify overnight, reaching 3.09m/s with gusts up to 13.1m/s by midnight, making nighttime travel extremely hazardous due to freezing conditions, strong winds, and hypothermia risk. Exercise extreme caution regarding hypothermia even during daylight hours,
山岳ガイド — Mountain Guide
概要 Overview
北海道空知郡上富良野町・美瑛町・新得町にまたがる標高2,077mの大雪山系の活火山。十勝連峰の主峰で、噴煙を上げる山頂部と荒涼とした火山地形が独特の景観を作り出している百名山。
特徴・地形 Features
山頂直下には大正噴火の火口・新噴火口が点在し、現在も活発な噴気活動が続く。富良野盆地を見下ろす広大な裾野とお花畑も魅力。
ベストシーズン Best Season
7月〜9月。噴火警戒レベルの常時確認が必須。残雪期は山スキーフィールドとしても人気。
主要ルート Main Routes
望岳台コース(最一般的)、新得コース、十勝連峰縦走(美瑛岳〜トムラウシ)。
注意点・危険箇所 Cautions
噴火警戒レベル次第で登山道立入規制。火山ガス濃度の高い区間あり。森林限界以上の強風・低体温症リスク。
アクセス Access
JR富良野線美瑛駅・上富良野駅から車・タクシー。望岳台までマイカーアクセス可。
※ 本ガイド情報は一般的な参考資料であり、最新の登山道状況・規制情報は各自治体・登山口の公式情報をご確認ください。